The United States is currently grappling with extreme weather patterns, characterized by relentless heat and persistent flooding. According to the National Weather Service, areas under a prolonged heat wave, particularly in the South and parts of the Plains, will continue to endure sweltering temperatures due to a persistent heat dome.
This oppressive heat wave is expected to occasionally extend into the Mid-Atlantic region. For instance, temperatures in Washington, D.C., are projected to approach 100°F. The increasing frequency and intensity of such heat waves are attributed to climate change, which is exacerbating the situation by creating higher concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. The prolonged exposure to extreme heat poses significant health risks, particularly in the affected regions.
Simultaneously, regions surrounding the heat dome are experiencing significant rainfall, exacerbating flooding in the Midwest. Severe thunderstorms are forecasted to continue through early July, contributing to what meteorologists describe as a "ring of fire" weather pattern. This pattern, which occurs around the periphery of heat domes, can result in several inches of rain each evening, repeatedly targeting the same areas and compounding the flooding issues.
In addition to the daytime heat, overnight temperatures are also soaring, especially from Atlanta to Dallas. Climate Central's Climate Shift Index indicates that these elevated nighttime temperatures are five times more likely due to human-caused climate change compared to preindustrial levels. This index, which operates in real-time, is based on methods published in peer-reviewed literature.
Globally, June is on track to become the hottest month on record, continuing a 13-month streak of record-breaking temperatures. This alarming trend highlights the urgent need for addressing climate change and its impacts.
Heat alerts currently cover parts of 16 states, affecting approximately 55 million people from coast to coast. Excessive heat warnings are in effect for areas such as Oklahoma City, parts of Texas including Wichita Falls, and regions like New Orleans and Pensacola, Florida. The Weather Service warns that the combination of high heat and humidity will create dangerous conditions, with heat indices reaching up to 115°F.
In the West, places like Palm Springs and the Coachella Valley in California are under excessive heat warnings, with temperatures expected to exceed 110°F. The heat risk is significant, with major Level 3 out of 4 heat risks forecasted for areas from the central Plains through the southern Plains to the Mississippi Valley, and parts of the South, including Oklahoma, Arkansas, Georgia, and Florida.
As a cold front approaches the U.S. Northeast later in the week, it may provide brief relief from the intense heat. However, these cooler air masses are likely to be short-lived, with the heat quickly rebounding.
On Wednesday, the heat was particularly intense in the Mid-Atlantic, with temperatures soaring 10 to 15 degrees above normal. Highs in the mid-90s to around 100°F were common, with heat indices also reaching 100 to 105°F. Similarly, parts of the South, including Georgia and South Carolina, experienced temperatures nearing 100°F, while Oklahoma and Texas saw widespread highs exceeding 105°F.
Looking ahead, much of Oklahoma and Texas are expected to endure highs of 100 to 105°F for the rest of the workweek. Brief relief from weak cold fronts will be short-lived, with temperatures likely to remain high. Dallas is forecasted to experience temperatures of 100°F or higher throughout the week, with even higher temperatures expected next week.
In the Desert Southwest, temperatures around 110°F will be common from Phoenix to southeastern California, with Death Valley expected to exceed 120°F on several occasions. By next Tuesday, temperatures in the Central Valley of California are forecasted to approach 105°F.
Despite the extreme heat, record-high temperatures continue to be set. On Tuesday, cities such as St. Louis, Albany, Georgia, and Birmingham, Alabama, recorded record highs. On Monday, records were set from Nebraska to Arkansas and across the South.
As July approaches, the National Weather Service predicts that it will be hotter than normal, especially in the East and parts of the interior West. Although the month may start with cooler air in the northeastern U.S., warmer conditions are expected to return quickly, potentially bringing hotter-than-average temperatures for the Fourth of July period.