Russia's Ministry for Emergencies declared a "federal level" emergency in the Kursk region on Friday, four days after Ukrainian forces launched a significant incursion across the border. The surprise attack, which marks the most substantial Ukrainian operation on Russian soil since the war began, has thrown the region into turmoil, prompting a fierce response from Moscow.
The situation in Kursk remains volatile, with Ukrainian armored units advancing deep into Russian territory. According to the Washington-based Institute for the Study of War (ISW), Ukrainian forces have penetrated up to 35 kilometers (approximately 22 miles) into Russia, capturing a substantial area equivalent to the size of New Orleans. The Ukrainian assault, which began on Tuesday, has overwhelmed Russian defenses, with reports indicating that Kyiv's troops have seized control of several key settlements, including parts of the town of Sudzha, a critical hub for Russian gas flowing to Europe.
The Kursk region's acting governor, Alexei Smirnov, acknowledged the severity of the situation on Telegram, noting that the operational environment remains "difficult." Social services and civic associations are scrambling to provide aid to the thousands of residents who have been forced to flee their homes due to the ongoing fighting. The last official figure cited by Russian authorities indicated that around 3,000 people had been evacuated from the region.
Despite the growing crisis, Ukrainian officials have remained tight-lipped about the specifics of their operation. However, Mykhailo Podolyak, a top adviser to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, hinted at the broader strategic aims of the incursion, suggesting that it was designed to bring the war closer to Russian territory and potentially strengthen Kyiv's position in any future negotiations. "This increases the cost of the war for Russia quantitatively," Podolyak remarked, emphasizing that the operation is intended to alter Russia's perception of the conflict.
The Ukrainian advance into Kursk has not only stunned the Russian military but has also caused a significant stir among Russian state media. Sergey Mardan, a prominent host on Solovyov Live, described the situation as "chaos," expressing disbelief at the scale of the Ukrainian offensive. "Ukrainians are in the Kursk region; part of Sudzha is under Ukrainian control," Mardan said, adding that the lack of coherent information from the Kremlin has only fueled confusion and concern.
Mikhail Khodaryonok, a Russian military expert, echoed these sentiments, warning that Russian citizens would soon be demanding answers from the government. "Suddenly, the Ukrainian side has demonstrated its ability to attack and to conduct successful action," Khodaryonok said during a broadcast. He questioned how such a significant breach of Russian territory could have occurred, pointing to apparent failures in Russia's intelligence and military preparedness.
Meanwhile, Russian President Vladimir Putin has downplayed the scale of the Ukrainian offensive, characterizing it as a "large-scale provocation" by Kyiv. Speaking at an emergency meeting of his Security Council, Putin accused Ukraine of indiscriminately targeting civilian infrastructure in the Kursk region. "The Kyiv regime has carried out another large-scale provocation, firing indiscriminately with various types of weapons, including missiles, at civilian buildings, residential buildings, and ambulances," Putin stated.
Despite Putin's reassurances, the Russian Defense Ministry has struggled to maintain a consistent narrative. While officials have repeatedly declared "victory" in repelling the Ukrainian forces, the reality on the ground appears far more complex, with Ukrainian troops reportedly continuing to advance and hold territory within Russia.