"Japan has slipped into a recession, leading to the loss of its position as the world's third-largest economy-a title now held by Germany. This shift comes as Japan's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) shrank at an annualized pace of 0.4% in the final quarter of 2023, as reported by the Cabinet Office.
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The 0.8% decrease in consumer spending, adjusted for seasonal factors but not inflation, surpassed economists' predictions, who had anticipated a more modest decline of 0.3%. This downturn follows a revised gain of 0.4% in December, suggesting a potential shift in consumer behavior at the outset of the year.
"The United Kingdom's economy has officially entered a recession, marking a significant downturn and the weakest annual growth since the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, excluding the pandemic-impacted year of 2020.
The U.S. economy expanded at a sharply faster pace than expected in the third quarter, according to a long-delayed government report that underscored the resilience of consumer spending even as inflation pressures intensified and economic momentum showed signs of uneven distribution.
The Federal Reserve delivered its third interest-rate cut in four months and its lowest policy setting since 2022, but deep internal divisions and cautious guidance signaled that further easing will be harder to achieve and likely slower.
Mortgage rates climbed to 6.32% on Monday, surprising prospective homebuyers just one day before the Federal Reserve begins its final policy meeting of 2025. The jump, reported by The Mortgage Reports, lifted the average 30-year fixed rate by five basis points to 6.324%, signaling that lenders may be moving preemptively ahead of Wednesday's widely expected interest-rate cut. The increase adds pressure at a time when rising job losses, elevated inflation and weakening affordability are already reshaping the U.S. housing market.
China's exports rebounded sharply in November, rising 5.9% year-over-year to $330.3 billion and pushing the country's trade surplus above $1 trillion for the first time, even as shipments to the United States plunged nearly 29%, according to customs data released Monday. The figures underscore Beijing's growing reliance on diversified export markets as U.S. demand continues to weaken.
U.S. consumer confidence continued to deteriorate in November as households increasingly worried about job security, inflation and the broader economic outlook, according to new data from the Conference Board. The Consumer Confidence Index fell to 88.7, its lowest reading since April, marking a 6.8-point decline and underscoring growing pessimism across income and political groups. The results add pressure on Federal Reserve officials who have already signaled that further interest-rate reductions may be needed as economic sentiment weakens.
Global financial markets fell sharply this week as investors reacted to a stark warning from a senior Federal Reserve official who predicted "eye-popping" levels of job losses if current economic momentum deteriorates. The comment, delivered anonymously in private discussions referenced by market analysts, spread quickly through trading desks and social-media platforms, intensifying fears that the United States and other major economies may be heading toward a synchronized downturn.
Layoff announcements in the United States surged in October, reaching their highest level for the month in more than two decades as companies continue to adjust to slowing economic activity and rapid technological change. The report, released by outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, identified more than 153,000 planned job cuts last month, an increase of 175% compared with the same month a year earlier. The figure brings the total number of announced layoffs this year to over one million.
The U.S. private-sector added 42,000 jobs in October, according to new employment data from ADP, offering a tentative sign of stabilization in the labor market as the nation continues to operate without official federal statistics due to the government shutdown. The modest improvement marks a reversal from job losses recorded in August and September, but ADP analysts cautioned the gains remain narrowly concentrated and fragile.
The Federal Reserve is widely expected to lower its benchmark interest rate by a quarter percentage point Wednesday, marking its second cut in six weeks, as officials move to counter signs of a weakening labor market amid a government data blackout. The move would bring the federal funds rate to a range between 3.75% and 4.00%, according to nearly all economists surveyed by Reuters.
U.S. inflation climbed to 3% in September, coming in slightly below economists' expectations and reinforcing market confidence that the Federal Reserve will move forward with another interest rate cut at its policy meeting next week.