Former Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen has called on the United States to prioritize military support for Ukraine, arguing that a victory against Russian aggression would serve as a powerful global deterrent against future conflicts, including a potential invasion of Taiwan by China. Tsai made the remarks during the Halifax International Security Forum, where she underscored the importance of American leadership in countering authoritarian threats.
"A Ukrainian victory will serve as the most effective deterrent to future aggression globally," Tsai said, according to Politico. "They [the United States] should do whatever they can to help the Ukrainians. We [Taiwan] still have time."
The comments come as U.S. defense officials grapple with a strain on weapon supplies due to ongoing military aid to Ukraine and Israel. Admiral Samuel Paparo, commander of the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, recently noted that the diversion of advanced systems, including Patriot missiles and air-to-air munitions, is beginning to impact America's readiness in the Asia-Pacific region.
Tsai's remarks reflect a growing consensus among some analysts and policymakers that Ukraine's fight against Russian President Vladimir Putin has significant implications for Taiwan. With Chinese President Xi Jinping reportedly preparing for a potential invasion of Taiwan by 2027, the stakes are high. "A Ukrainian victory would help deter China from a cross-strait attack," Tsai said.
Rep. Michael McCaul (R-Texas), the outgoing chair of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, echoed Tsai's warning in a recent panel discussion at the Atlantic Council. "If Ukraine falls, Taiwan is next. And that will be World War III," McCaul stated, criticizing those in his party who oppose U.S. military aid to Ukraine. "We can't afford to lose this fight. It's vital to our national interests."
Taiwan has increased its defense spending by 80% over the past year, reaching a record $19 billion, in an effort to bolster its capabilities against a potential Chinese assault. However, Tsai emphasized that Taiwan's reliance on American weapons and support underscores the interconnected nature of these global conflicts.
The U.S. has faced criticism for slow decision-making on military aid to Ukraine, with some lawmakers warning that delays have hindered Kyiv's ability to push back against Russian forces. This debate is taking place against a backdrop of heightened uncertainty as U.S. President-elect Donald Trump prepares to return to office. Trump's criticisms of U.S. spending on Ukraine and his pledge to end the war have raised concerns among Kyiv's allies about potential concessions to Russia.
Despite these challenges, Tsai remains optimistic that the U.S. can balance its commitments. "American support for Ukraine would help deter China from a cross-strait attack," she reiterated.
